American Attack on Caracas Fuels Concerns of Potential Greenland Takeover.

Recent US-led strike in Venezuela and the seizure of its president have renewed worry regarding America's ambitions on Greenland. Supporters of the ex-president's base have allegedly focused on the strategically important island in the wake of the events in South America.

Inflammatory Messages and Official Backlash

Merely a short time after the initiation of the Venezuelan campaign, a well-known right-wing commentator, who is married to a high-ranking presidential adviser, posted a symbolic map. The picture showed Greenland covered in the American flag, accompanied by single-word message: "COMING."

This overt threat to claim the resource-abundant land, which is a part of the NATO alliance, triggered swift and firm condemnation from Danish officials.

"Denmark and the US are close allies and should continue to work together as such. US security is equally Greenland’s and Denmark’s security," declared the Copenhagen's envoy to the United States. "Our nation and the US work together to ensure security in the Arctic."

The ambassador additionally highlighted that the kingdom had substantially increased its military budget recently, earmarking a large amount specifically for Northern and North Atlantic defence. "Furthermore, we demand full recognition for the territorial integrity of the Kingdom of Denmark," he emphasized.

Administrative Moves and Strategic Interests

The tensions were further complicated by the previous appointment of a Southern governor as a special envoy to Greenland. The appointee had publicly expressed gratitude to the commander-in-chief, stating it was an "honour" to serve in a volunteer role to "bring Greenland into the US."

Following the military action in Venezuela, this envoy praised the administration's decisive move, connecting it to the wider "war on drugs."

Ever since assuming office, the American leader has consistently unnerved transatlantic partners with his stated interest in Greenland. The territory is viewed as critically strategic for national security and future mineral exploitation. It already houses the most northerly US military base.

Refusing to Rule Out Force

In a significant media interview, the leader refused to exclude the use of military force to acquire Greenland. This position comes during growing great-power competition in the Arctic. "I don't rule it out. I don't say I'm going to do it, but I don't rule out anything... We need Greenland very badly," he stated.

He characterized Greenland as having a "tiny amount of people, which we’ll take care of, and we’ll cherish them... But we need that for international security."

Mounting Friction and Indigenous Opposition

In reaction to this constant "rhetoric" of intent, Denmark's intelligence service took the unprecedented step last month of classifying the United States as a "security risk."

The prime ministers of Denmark and Greenland issued a unified and forceful statement: "We have said it very clearly before. Now we say it again... You cannot take over other countries."

Public opinion in Greenland reveals a nuanced picture. While a vast majority of the island's residents desire independence from Copenhagen, there is simultaneously little to no desire to become part of the United States. The island has had the legal right to declare independence for many years.

Expert Assessment: A Credible Scenario?

Military analysts are increasingly reconsidering the possibility of such a move. One policy analyst focusing in military analysis admitted she had once discounted the rhetoric but was "now not so sure."

"Logistically, it would be feasible for the US to deploy a couple hundred or a few thousand troops inside of Greenland, and it's not clear to me who could do anything about it," she observed.

Matthew Walker
Matthew Walker

A theoretical physicist specializing in spin dynamics and quantum information theory, with over a decade of research experience.